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Climate change science resources

Understanding climate change in Queensland means:

  • investing in the science
  • looking at how Queensland’s climate has already changed and is projected to continue changing
  • measuring how Queensland is contributing to global greenhouse gas emissions and how this can be minimised
  • developing tools that help communities and businesses make good decisions on how to reduce their impact and improve their resilience.

Understanding is not a static activity; our knowledge is constantly improving and more resources will be developed over the life of the strategies.

Queensland Future Climate Dashboard

The Queensland Future Climate Dashboard provides easy access to climate projection, heatwave and rainfall information for Queensland. The dashboard allows users to explore, visualise and download the latest high-resolution climate modelling data for specific regions, catchments, disaster areas, local government areas and grid squares.   

The Understanding Future Climate webpage explains how climate projections work, as well as guidance on how to interpret and apply the information to meet your needs.

State Heatwave Risk Assessment 2019

The Queensland Government’s State Heatwave Risk Assessment 2019 features long-term climate change projections as part of its analysis of future climate risks in Queensland. The Queensland Fire and Emergency Services partnered with the Department of Environment and Science and Queensland Health to produce the assessment. The assessment reveals that most regions of Queensland are likely to experience more days over 35 degrees Celsius with heatwaves that are more intense and last longer.

Climate change in Queensland map application

The Climate Change in Queensland map application illustrates the projected impacts of climate change for the years 2030, 2050, 2070.

Using the map application, you can view the average changes in temperature, rainfall and evaporation projected for your region.

The application features pop-up charts, graphs and data tables showing climate change projections for both lower and high greenhouse gas emissions.

Regional climate change impact summaries

The Regional climate change impact summaries aim to help Queenslanders understand and adapt to our changing climate by providing a snapshot of the climate risks, impacts and responses in each region.

They show climate change projections for the years 2030 and 2070 at a statewide level and for 13 Queensland regions.

Climate change pressure on the Great Barrier Reef

At a Great Barrier Reef-wide scale, climate related variables are already having an effect, and are predicted to continue to have far-reaching consequences for the reef ecosystem. Read more about climate change pressure on the Great Barrier Reef.

Achieving net zero emissions by 2050

Independent analysis by ClimateWorks Australia and The Climate Institute found that it is both technically and economically feasible for Queensland to achieve net zero emissions by 2050 with currently available technology. Under this pathway analysis, Queensland could halve its total emissions by 2050 and offset the remainder through domestic bio-sequestration such as managed regrowth and environmental plantings. View the Executive Summary (PDF, 262KB) and full Technical Report (PDF, 2.95MB).

To inform Queensland’s transition to a zero net emission future, multiple pathways and options will need to be explored. The Queensland economy is always evolving as conditions and technologies change. The transition to a zero emissions economy will take place over decades and will translate into different rates of change for different industries, regions and communities.

Over the next two years, the Queensland Government will work to identify the risks, opportunities and costs of transitioning to a zero emissions economy. This will take into account various transition scenarios and external factors such as international action, global trends and the direction of national climate policy. The Government will analyse the risks and opportunities on a regional basis to better understand how different communities can plan for the transition.

Queensland’s Greenhouse Gas Emissions

View the 2016 report Carbon Pollution Projections: Queensland’s Baseline Greenhouse Gas Emissions to 2030 (PDF, 1.54MB). The report outlines Queensland’s emissions profile to 2030 in the absence of any new emissions policy measures. If Queensland takes no new steps to reduce its carbon pollution, the baseline scenario projects emissions would rise by 35% by 2030.

The latest greenhouse gas inventory for Queensland, showing emissions for the year 2016, was released in 2018 and is available on the Australian Government Department of the Environment and Energy website.

National Climate Change Adaptation Research Facility

The National Climate Change Adaptation Research Facility (NCCARF) has developed a searchable Adaptation Library that provides access to research reports and information to help prepare for and manage the risks of climate change and sea-level rise.

NCCARF has also released a series of short ‘synthesis summaries’ that provide simple information on key climate hazards and vulnerable systems.

Terra Nova

Terra Nova is a climate change adaptation information hub that provides access to climate change adaptation data and information to researchers and decision-makers.